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The Middle East faces an uphill battle to meet net-zero targets as a dependence on natural gas and crude oil in industry will lead to increased emissions over the coming years, according to S&P Global Platts Analytics.

The Middle East will have a hard time meeting targets because economies are heavily reliant on industry and refining, which are difficult to decarbonize while fuel subsidies encourage consumption, according to Dan Klein, head of future energy pathways at Platts Analytics.

Industry emissions from gas will climb 2% in 2022, more than making up for a 0.3% drop in oil emissions in industry. The gas emissions growth in industry is just above the global growth of 1.94% but the world economy is more diverse with potential to embrace new technologies such as electric vehicles, Klein said.